Saturday, October 16, 2010

Super Typhoon Megi

RECENT WEATHERUNDERGROUND TRACKING CHART:



ANALYSIS & FORECAST OUTLOOK (up to 48 hours)*

MEGI's circulation rapidly improved overnight with the formation of a banding eye. The storm is expected to move generally WNW for the next 2 days...becoming a Category 1 typhoon later today and will start accelerating. MEGI will be upgraded to Category 2 tomorrow afternoon, then eventually reaching Category 3 (Major Typhoon) upon entering the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) by early Saturday morning. 
[2AM OCT 15: 12.6N 138.8E @ 140kph...2PM OCT 15: 13.5N 137.2E @ 175kph...2AM OCT 16: 14.5N 135.0E @ 195kph].

Maximum Sustained Winds (1-min. avg) are near 95 km/hr (50 knots) with higher gusts. MEGI will continue to rapidly intensify through Saturday. Tropical Storm Force Winds (62-117 km/hr) extend outward up to 100 kilometers (55 nautical miles) from the center. MEGI is an average-sized tropical cyclone with a diameter of 445 kilometers (240 nautical miles) across.
EXTENDED FORECAST TRACK (3 to 5 days)*
SUNDAY EARLY MORNING:  Still intensifying while moving across the central portion of the Philippine Sea...approaching Category 4 strength [2AM OCT 17: 16.1N 131.0E @ 205kph]. MONDAY EARLY MORNING:  Bending more Westerly towards Northern Luzon...attains Category 4 status [2AM OCT 18: 17.0N 126.7E @ 220kph]. TUESDAY EARLY MORNING:  Off the east coast of Isabela or near Palanan Bay...preparing to cross Northern Luzon [2AM OCT 19: 17.1N 122.8E @ 220kph].
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RECENT MULTI-AGENCY TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TRACKING CHART:


RECENT MTSAT-1R "DAY & NIGHT VISION" SATELLITE IMAGE:
> Image source:  NOAA SATELLITE CENTER 

RECENT WUNDERGROUND SATELLITE ANIMATION:  **Error Note: Photo not aligned with land features.


> Image source:  Wunderground.com (
http://www.wunderground.com/
LATEST 24 HR. TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS / ENSEMBLE TROPICAL RAINFALL POTENTIAL (eTRaP):  


> Image source:  NOAA Satellite & Information Service (http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/etrap.html)


~JGS Corporate HR
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